Juste deux notes rapides pour que je pense à les relire après.
When you have a very efficient economic sector what happens is that it tends to go away.
Consider agriculture. Our modern-day agricultural technology is way better than what was available 200 years ago. But agricultural progress hasn’t meant that everyone goes to work in the super-charged high-tech agriculture of the future. It’s meant that more food than ever is grown with fewer person-hours of labor than ever. We should expect this to continue apace.
For all the talk of trade’s impact on American manufacturing, the bigger issue has been automation and robots. But either way, even though people will continue to consume manufactured goods—just as we still eat—manufacturing will be a less-and-less important part of the economy. Not because manufacturing “isn’t important” but because it’ll get more efficient.
And that’s how the whole private sector part of the economy will go. Markets, doing their work, will make those sectors more and more efficient leading them to shrink as a share of the overall economic pie.
What will be left is big government.
Si je comprends bien, c'est l'efficacité même du capitalisme ou en tout cas du Marché qui doit conduire au "socialisme" (ou plutôt à une part accrue de l'Etat dans les secteurs peu automatisés). C'est une nouvelle forme de dialectique plus optimiste que l'augmentation des Crises...
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